La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico1 - 0Getafe
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Wednesday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League
We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe
Getafe have not beaten Atletico in La Liga since November 2011, which is an indication of the size of their task here; two of their last three meetings have actually finished level, including a 3-3 at Wanda Metropolitano last term, but we are backing Simeone's side to navigate their way to all three points on Sunday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 9.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.47%) and 3-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
72.09% ( 0.3) | 18.17% ( -0.07) | 9.73% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 41.25% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
