We said: Sevilla 1-1 Real Betis
Sevilla will be a missing a whole host of important players for this weekend's match, which is certainly a concern considering Real Betis' form entering the contest. With a full squad, we would be backing Sevilla to edge this match, but under the circumstances, Real Betis should be able to claim a welcome point.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sevilla in this match.