La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Betis3 - 0Valencia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Betis
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
We said: Real Betis 1-0 Valencia
This is a tough match to call, as it is difficult to know exactly what to expect from Valencia on a game-to-game basis. Real Betis have not exactly been terrific this term, and they are hardly full of goals, but we are backing the Seville outfit to shade a close contest on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Valencia |
32.96% ( -0.12) | 28.37% ( -0) | 38.67% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.41% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.17% ( -0.01) | 59.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.89% ( -0) | 80.11% ( 0.01) |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( -0.09) | 33.69% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.66% ( -0.09) | 70.34% ( 0.1) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.98% ( 0.07) | 30.02% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.86% ( 0.09) | 66.14% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Real Betis 32.96%
Valencia 38.66%
Draw 28.37%
| Real Betis | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.66% |
How you voted: Betis vs Valencia
Real Betis
60.7%Draw
21.3%Valencia
18.0%61
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2022 7pm
