Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Betis |
47.17% ( -0.06) | 26.43% ( 0.01) | 26.41% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.76% ( -0.03) | 55.24% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.53% ( -0.03) | 76.47% ( 0.02) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.58% ( -0.05) | 23.42% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.59% ( -0.06) | 57.41% ( 0.06) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.76% ( 0.02) | 36.24% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.98% ( 0.02) | 73.02% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Betis |
1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.16% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |