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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Real Betis logo

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 2
Betis

Vesga (30' pen., 45' pen.), Guruzeta (45+7'), Gomez Etxebarria (84')
Paredes (59'), Ruiz de Galarreta (61'), Vesga (79'), Berenguer (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Jose (2'), Isco (10')
Rodriguez (44'), Vinicius (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 0-0 Atletico
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis

Athletic will be missing some important players this weekend, but the same can also be said for Real Betis. We were close to backing an away win, and it would not be a surprise to see the visitors triumph here, but Athletic are good enough to claim a share of the spoils in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
47.17% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 26.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 26.41% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.76% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)55.24% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.53% (-0.026 -0.03)76.47% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)23.42% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)57.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.24% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (0.021999999999998 0.02)73.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 47.16%
    Real Betis 26.41%
    Draw 26.42%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.61% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.41%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Betis

Athletic Bilbao
36.8%
Draw
22.8%
Real Betis
40.4%
57
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 9pm
Dec 29, 2022 6.15pm
Mar 13, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Betis
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Iglesias (20')
Pezzella (25'), Miranda (28'), Ruibal (76'), Canales (80')
Fekir (80')

Berchiche (8'), Berenguer (16'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (80'), Sancet (80')
Dec 19, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Betis
Williams (2', 72'), De Marcos (89')
Zarraga (58')
Juanmi (6'), Fekir (52')
Fekir (49'), Rodriguez (58'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Apr 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Betis
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Rodriguez (55'), Guardado (82'), Bravo (88')
Fekir (11')
de Marcos (43'), Nunez (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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