La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Espanyol3 - 1Celta Vigo
We said: Espanyol 1-2 Celta Vigo
Celta have only won once on their travels in La Liga this term, but the Sky Blues have so much talent in the final third of the field, and we are backing them to record a narrow win over an out-of-form Espanyol outfit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Celta Vigo |
40.7% ( -0.57) | 27.84% ( 0.12) | 31.47% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
