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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Real Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Swedberg (51')
Sotelo (82'), Alonso (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbappe (20'), Junior (66')
Ancelotti (19'), Vazquez (75')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Celta Vigo.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Celta Vigo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Las Palmas 0-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Villarreal
Saturday, October 5 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 0-2 Real Madrid

Real Madrid have found it difficult to get going on their travels this season, and Celta are a big threat in the final third of the field. Aspas's absence is a blow for the Sky Blues, though, and we are backing Ancelotti's side to pick up a much-needed three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
24.04% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 23.99% (0.0030000000000001 0) 51.96% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)47.37% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.59% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.34%70.66% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)18.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.76% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)49.23% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 24.04%
    Real Madrid 51.96%
    Draw 23.99%
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 6.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 6.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.88%
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 24.04%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 8.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 51.96%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid

Celta Vigo
8.9%
Draw
6.3%
Real Madrid
84.8%
270
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
4-0
Celta Vigo
Junior (21'), Guaita (79' og.), Dominguez (88' og.), Guler (90+4')
Camavinga (45+1'), Junior (55')

de la Torre (25'), Mingueza (55'), Manquillo (82')
Aug 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Madrid

Aspas (67'), Tapia (90+4')
Bellingham (81')
Kroos (71'), Nacho (90+6'), Rudiger (90+3')
Apr 22, 2023 8pm
Aug 20, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
1-4
Real Madrid
Aspas (23' pen.)
Tapia (13'), Mallo (85')
Benzema (14' pen.), Modric (41'), Junior (56'), Valverde (66')
Carvajal (65'), Alaba (68')
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Nolito (52')
Galan (36'), Galhardo (40'), Murillo (57')
Benzema (19' pen., 69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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