Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Celta Vigo |
41.74% ( 0.51) | 27.9% ( 0.17) | 30.36% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 46.96% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.24% ( -0.81) | 58.76% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.71% ( -0.63) | 79.28% ( 0.63) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( -0.1) | 27.75% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% ( -0.13) | 63.32% ( 0.13) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65% ( -0.93) | 35% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.26% ( -0.99) | 71.74% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.73% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.14% Total : 30.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |