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La Liga
Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 1pm UK
San Mames Barria
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Athletic Bilbao
4 - 1
Espanyol

Vivian (6'), Williams (28', 30'), Berenguer (55')
Berchiche (45+3'), Nunez (48')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Tejero (90+2')
Milla (51'), Cabrera (74'), El Hilali (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, October 6 at 1pm in La Liga

Espanyol

All competitions
Last Game: Espanyol 2-1 Mallorca
Saturday, October 5 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Espanyol

 Athletic will be missing some key players this weekend, and Espanyol are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for the home side. The Lions can still call upon some excellent quality, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to all three points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawEspanyol
60% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 23.21% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 16.79% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 45.48% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (0.064999999999998 0.06)53.11% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (0.055 0.05)74.69% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.62% (0.0040000000000049 0)17.37% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.21% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.05% (0.11 0.11)44.95% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.11% (0.087 0.09)80.89% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 59.99%
    Espanyol 16.79%
    Draw 23.21%
Athletic BilbaoDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 13.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.98% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 59.99%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 16.79%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol

Athletic Bilbao
84.0%
Draw
11.7%
Espanyol
4.3%
94
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Espanyol
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Darder (90')
Williams (22'), Williams (75')
> Preview
Jan 18, 2023 7pm
Round of 16
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Espanyol
De Marcos (27')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 4
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Espanyol
Braithwaite (83')
> Preview
Feb 7, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Espanyol
Sancet (5'), Martinez (16')
Vesga (62'), Petxarroman (87'), Martinez (90+3')
Vilhena (3')
Morlanes (15'), Lopez (70'), Gil (75')
> Preview
Oct 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Espanyol
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
De Tomas (33' pen.)
Herrera (73')
de Tomas (90+3')
Williams (52')
Berenguer (75'), Alvarez (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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