Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Mallorca |
36.48% ( 0.92) | 30.04% ( 0.5) | 33.48% ( -1.42) |
Both teams to score 41.96% ( -1.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.72% ( -1.66) | 65.27% ( 1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.92% ( -1.17) | 84.08% ( 1.17) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.82% ( -0.27) | 34.18% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.12% ( -0.29) | 70.88% ( 0.29) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.76% ( -1.88) | 36.24% ( 1.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.97% ( -1.96) | 73.02% ( 1.96) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.02% | 0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.95% Total : 33.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |