Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 45.46%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
45.46% ( 0.27) | 29% ( -0.12) | 25.54% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 41.43% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.64% ( 0.28) | 64.36% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.56% ( 0.2) | 83.44% ( -0.2) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.56% ( 0.28) | 28.44% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.81% ( 0.35) | 64.2% ( -0.35) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.89% ( 0.03) | 42.11% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.47% ( 0.03) | 78.53% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 15.05% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 45.45% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.99% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.14% Total : 25.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |