Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Real Sociedad |
34.27% ( 0.01) | 28.48% ( -0.03) | 37.25% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.29% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.94% ( 0.09) | 60.06% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.72% ( 0.07) | 80.28% ( -0.07) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.09% ( 0.05) | 32.91% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.51% ( 0.06) | 69.48% ( -0.06) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69% ( 0.06) | 30.99% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.7% ( 0.06) | 67.3% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.47% | 0-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 37.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |