We said: Getafe 1-1 Leganes
Getafe have been the draw specialists in the early stages of the new La Liga campaign, while Leganes have picked up points in three of their six matches. Getafe will be the favourites on home soil, but we are expecting the points to be shared in Sunday's showdown.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 34.88%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 32.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7%) and 2-1 (6.4%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (14.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.