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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Celta Vigo logo

Girona
1 - 0
Celta Vigo

Herrera (90+1')
Couto (45+7'), Stuani (77'), Juanpe (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vazquez (55'), Nunez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Girona and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 5-2 Almeria
Sunday, October 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-3 Atletico
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 2-1 Celta Vigo

Celta are not in the best place at the moment, so it is difficult to back them to pick up a positive result here. We are actually expecting the scoreline to be close on Friday, as Celta have a lot of quality in their side, but Girona should be able to record their ninth league victory of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Girona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Girona.

Result
GironaDrawCelta Vigo
46.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.49% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 29.04% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.81% (0.215 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (0.264 0.26)45.71% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (0.251 0.25)68.02% (-0.247 -0.25)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (0.107 0.11)19.77% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19% (0.168 0.17)51.81% (-0.162 -0.16)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (0.178 0.18)29.2% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (0.218 0.22)65.14% (-0.212 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Girona 46.48%
    Celta Vigo 29.04%
    Draw 24.48%
GironaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 46.48%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 29.04%

How you voted: Girona vs Celta Vigo

Girona
85.4%
Draw
7.3%
Celta Vigo
7.3%
151
Head to Head
May 23, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 36
Celta Vigo
1-1
Girona
Perez (42')
Stuani (59' pen.)
Aug 26, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Girona
0-1
Celta Vigo

Lopez (43'), Juanpe (45')
Aspas (49')
Tapia (68')
Apr 20, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 33
Celta Vigo
2-1
Girona
Aspas (34'), Boufal (67')
Yokuslu (46')
Portu (48')
Luiz (76')
Sep 17, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 4
Girona
3-2
Celta Vigo
Stuani (22', 56'), Alcala (37')
Luiz (90')
Aspas (34'), Boufal (87')
Cabral (70'), Beltran (70')
Cabral (90')
Feb 27, 2018 8.30pm
Girona
1-0
Celta Vigo
Portu (14')
Maffeo (26'), Stuani (53'), Garcia (86')

Jonny (60'), Mor (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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