Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Girona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Girona.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Celta Vigo |
46.48% ( -0.01) | 24.49% ( -0.05) | 29.04% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.81% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.29% ( 0.26) | 45.71% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.97% ( 0.25) | 68.02% ( -0.25) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.23% ( 0.11) | 19.77% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% ( 0.17) | 51.81% ( -0.16) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% ( 0.18) | 29.2% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% ( 0.22) | 65.14% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.48% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 29.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |