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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Real Madrid logo

Girona
0 - 3
Real Madrid


Garcia (64'), Stuani (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Joselu (17'), Tchouameni (21'), Bellingham (71')
Arrizabalaga (84'), Rudiger (90+5')
Nacho (90+4')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Girona.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Girona.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Girona
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 2-2 Real Madrid

This is a very, very difficult match to call, and we changed our minds a couple of times before settling on a draw. Real Madrid are the favourites, but Girona's form has been excellent this season, and the Catalan side have also enjoyed their recent meetings with the capital giants, so the spoils could be shared here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Girona had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawReal Madrid
30.69% (0.537 0.54) 25.34% (0.221 0.22) 43.97% (-0.75899999999999 -0.76)
Both teams to score 54.89% (-0.458 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.35% (-0.721 -0.72)48.64% (0.72 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (-0.661 -0.66)70.76% (0.66 0.66)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (0.0039999999999907 0)29.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)65.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.655 -0.66)22.09% (0.653 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (-0.994 -0.99)55.44% (0.992 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Girona 30.69%
    Real Madrid 43.97%
    Draw 25.34%
GironaDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.235 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.076 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.69%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.099 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.97%

How you voted: Girona vs Real Madrid

Girona
19.5%
Draw
25.6%
Real Madrid
54.9%
133
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Girona
4-2
Real Madrid
Castellanos (12', 24', 46', 62')
Junior (34'), Vazquez (85')
Oct 30, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Real Madrid
1-1
Girona
Junior (70')
Stuani (80' pen.)
Feb 17, 2019 11am
Jan 31, 2019 8.30pm
Jan 24, 2019 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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