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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Atletico Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
0 - 3
Atletico


Mingueza (30'), Starfelt (51'), Rodriguez (87')
Villar (25')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Griezmann (29' pen., 64', 70')
Niguez (54'), Riquelme (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Getafe
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico are flying at the moment, and we are backing them to post a fifth straight league win over Celta this weekend. Simeone's side recorded a 1-0 victory in the corresponding match last season, and we can see the same scoreline occurring on Saturday, which would make it six wins in a row for Atletico in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
32.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.26% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 39.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.64% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)55.77% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (0.038 0.04)76.9% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (0.028000000000006 0.03)31.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)68.1% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (0.02300000000001 0.02)27.34% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2% (0.030999999999999 0.03)62.79% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 32.83%
    Atletico Madrid 39.91%
    Draw 27.26%
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.83%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.91%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Atletico

Celta Vigo
14.0%
Draw
10.8%
Atletico Madrid
75.3%
93
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Atletico
4-1
Celta Vigo
Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Veiga (71')
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Atletico
2-0
Celta Vigo
Lodi (36', 60')
Savic (12'), Gimenez (15'), Oblak (20'), Mandava (50')

Aspas (17'), Araujo (71'), Galhardo (84')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Celta Vigo
1-2
Atletico
Aspas (59' pen.)
Suarez (77'), Solari (86'), Fontan (90'), Aspas (90+5')
Mallo (90+5')
Correa (23', 64')
Lemar (11'), Llorente (57'), Kondogbia (61'), Carrasco (90+2'), Gimenez (90+8')
Hermoso (90+5')
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Atletico
2-2
Celta Vigo
Suarez (45', 50')
Felipe (23'), Gimenez (67')
Mina (13'), Ferreyra (89')
Tapia (5'), Suarez (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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