La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico3 - 1Real Madrid
The Match
Match Report
Alvaro Morata nets twice against his former club as Atletico Madrid record a 3-1 win over Real Madrid in Sunday's Madrid derby at Wanda Metropolitano.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's Madrid derby with Atletico Madrid.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Atletico
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, September 20 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Wednesday, September 20 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Madrid |
38.84% ( 0.71) | 25.66% ( 0.18) | 35.5% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
