La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Granada1 - 1Almeria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Granada
Sunday, February 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, February 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, February 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, February 12 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Granada 1-1 Almeria
There is simply no downplaying the importance of this match, as a win for either would be enormous. Draws are no good at this stage, but we are finding it so hard to separate them and have had to settle on a 1-1. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Almeria |
47.27% ( 0.06) | 24.07% ( -0.18) | 28.65% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.94% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
