La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia2 - 1Almeria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Valencia
Sunday, January 28 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, January 28 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-3 Alaves
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Valencia 1-0 Almeria
Almeria's winless run in La Liga is going to end at some stage, and they are capable of causing the better sides in the division problems, as shown against Real Madrid. Valencia will be determined to return to winning ways on Saturday, though, and we are expecting them to secure all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Almeria |
57.64% ( 0.89) | 22.22% ( -0.15) | 20.14% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
