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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Atletico Madrid logo

Granada
0 - 1
Atletico


Boye (75'), Batalla (90+5'), Medina (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morata (54')
Niguez (72'), Savic (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Granada and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 1-0 Granada
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Granada 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Granada's best performances have come at home this season, while Atletico have not been too impressive on their travels. Granada will also be the fresher of the two sides, but we are still expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to an important three points in Monday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
GranadaDrawAtletico Madrid
29.19% (0.78 0.78) 24.93% (0.18 0.18) 45.87% (-0.963 -0.96)
Both teams to score 55.41% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41% (-0.343 -0.34)47.58% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (-0.317 -0.32)69.79% (0.316 0.32)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.384 0.38)30.04% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.46100000000001 0.46)66.17% (-0.46300000000001 -0.46)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (-0.55800000000001 -0.56)20.79% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)53.44% (0.88 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Granada 29.19%
    Atletico Madrid 45.87%
    Draw 24.92%
GranadaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.185 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.87%

How you voted: Granada vs Atletico

Granada
9.0%
Draw
8.3%
Atletico Madrid
82.7%
133
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Atletico
3-1
Granada
Morata (45+4'), Depay (67'), Llorente (90+8')
Hermoso (39'), Morata (42'), Azpilicueta (90+4')
Omorodion Aghehowa (62')
Gumbau (10'), Lopez (45+7')
Apr 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Atletico
0-0
Granada
Mandava (29'), Savic (45+4'), De Paul (78'), Vrsaljko (85')
Quini (3'), Escudero (58'), Diaz (74'), Puertas (83'), Duarte (90+2')
Dec 22, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Granada
2-1
Atletico
Machis (17'), Molina (61')
Maximiano (66'), Ruiz (69'), Monchu (86'), Torrente (90+5')
Felix (2')
De Paul (7')
Feb 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 23
Granada
1-2
Atletico
Herrera (66')
Llorente (63'), Correa (75')
Suarez (39'), Niguez (43'), Savic (77'), Koke (88'), Carrasco (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Atletico
6-1
Granada
Costa (9'), Correa (47'), Felix (65'), Llorente (72'), Suarez (85', 90+3')
Felix (27'), Niguez (59'), Partey (74')
Molina (87')
Duarte (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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