La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna2 - 2Alaves
We said: Osasuna 2-0 Alaves
Osasuna have the fourth-best home record in La Liga this season, losing just one of their eight matches, and we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a routine home success here; Coudet needs time to change things at Alaves, but he could be staring at another defeat this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Alaves |
43.04% ( -0.08) | 27.94% ( 0.01) | 29.02% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
