Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Elche had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.4%) and 3-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Elche |
68.25% ( 0.53) | 20.46% ( -0.15) | 11.29% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 39.89% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47% ( -0.3) | 53% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.41% ( -0.25) | 74.59% ( 0.25) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.41% ( 0.07) | 14.59% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.33% ( 0.14) | 42.67% ( -0.14) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.71% ( -0.88) | 53.29% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.16% ( -0.56) | 86.83% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 14.4% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 68.24% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.46% | 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |