Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Getafe |
58.98% ( -0.02) | 24.04% ( 0) | 16.98% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.61% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.15% ( 0) | 55.84% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.04% ( 0) | 76.96% ( -0) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.24% ( -0.01) | 18.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% ( -0.01) | 50.14% ( 0.01) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.68% ( 0.02) | 46.32% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.03% ( 0.02) | 81.97% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 14.54% 2-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 6.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.23% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 58.97% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 16.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |