La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 2, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia3 - 1Villarreal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Valencia
Tuesday, December 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Tuesday, December 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-2 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga
We said: Valencia 2-1 Villarreal
Both teams will be missing some important players for this match, but Villarreal will be hit harder in terms of absentees. It would not be a surprise to see the points shared on Tuesday, but we believe that Valencia have enough quality to navigate their way to a narrow success in front of their own supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
43.96% ( -0.01) | 25.5% ( 0) | 30.54% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% ( -0.01) | 49.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% ( -0.01) | 71.4% ( 0.01) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( -0.01) | 22.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.09% ( -0.01) | 55.91% ( 0.01) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( -0.01) | 30% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.88% ( -0.01) | 66.12% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Valencia 43.95%
Villarreal 30.54%
Draw 25.49%
| Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 30.54% |
How you voted: Valencia vs Villarreal
Valencia
58.4%Draw
24.7%Villarreal
16.9%77
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Form Guide
