Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
41.14% ( -0) | 25.87% ( 0) | 32.99% |
Both teams to score 54.08% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.88% ( -0.01) | 50.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.92% ( -0.01) | 72.08% ( 0.01) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.89% ( -0.01) | 24.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.6% ( -0) | 58.4% ( 0) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.25% ( -0) | 28.74% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.42% ( -0) | 64.58% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.14% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |