Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
42.68% ( 0.03) | 26.93% ( -0) | 30.4% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.8% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.83% ( 0.01) | 55.17% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.59% ( 0.01) | 76.41% ( -0.01) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.41% ( 0.02) | 25.58% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.54% ( 0.02) | 60.46% ( -0.03) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.91% ( -0.01) | 33.08% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.32% ( -0.01) | 69.67% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.67% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |