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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
San Mames Barria
Villarreal logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Villarreal

Paredes (15'), Williams (69')
Sancet (55'), Prados (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Comesana (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pontevedra 1-0 Villarreal
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Villarreal

Perez's return is huge news for Villarreal, and we fancy the Yellow Submarine to claim a point here; Athletic are strong at home and will enter the clash off the back of a brilliant result, but it was 1-1 at San Mames in the corresponding game last term, and we can see the same scoreline on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
42.68% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 26.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 30.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.8% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)55.17% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (0.010000000000002 0.01)76.41% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)60.46% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)33.08% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.32% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)69.67% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 42.67%
    Villarreal 30.4%
    Draw 26.92%
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 42.67%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.4%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal

Athletic Bilbao
69.5%
Draw
24.8%
Villarreal
5.7%
105
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Villarreal
Sancet (66')
Prados (10'), Williams (31'), Berchiche (90+4')
Parejo (90+5' pen.)
Albiol (34'), Comesana (35')
Comesana (46')
Nov 5, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Villarreal
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Moreno (86'), Sorloth (87')
Gabbia (19'), Albiol (72'), Mandi (74'), Femenia (76')
Ruiz de Galarreta (2'), Williams (22'), Williams (30')
Williams (41'), de Marcos (44'), Garcia (89'), Ruiz de Galarreta (90+2')
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Villarreal
5-1
Athletic Bilbao
Baena (24', 90'), Jackson (37', 50'), Paredes (61' og.)
Capoue (1'), Parejo (45'), Torres (45+3'), Pedraza (58')
Sancet (45+3' pen.)
Paredes (54'), Herrera (54'), Williams (68')
Oct 30, 2022 5.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Villarreal
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Pedraza (60')
Pedraza (50'), Mandi (81')
Garcia (43')
Petxarroman (85'), Garcia (90'), Sancet (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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