League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 19
Jun 5, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Richmond Park
St Patrick's4 - 1Derry
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: UCD 1-3 St Patrick's
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Derry 0-0 Shelbourne
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
27
We said: St Patrick's Athletic 1-2 Derry City
Despite Derry's recent wobble, they are backed to claim maximum points against a side they have not lost to since July 2021. St Pat's have claimed two straight wins under Daly since his permanent appointment, but that run could end on Monday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
31.13% ( 0.1) | 28.31% ( 0.37) | 40.56% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 46.1% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.02% ( -1.28) | 59.97% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.78% ( -0.99) | 80.22% ( 0.98) |
St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.92% ( -0.61) | 35.07% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.18% ( -0.64) | 71.82% ( 0.64) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.01% ( -0.88) | 28.99% ( 0.88) |