Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
