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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
39.65% ( 0.31) | 25.5% ( -0.12) | 34.85% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.88% ( 0.5) | 48.12% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.72% ( 0.46) | 70.28% ( -0.46) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.02% ( 0.39) | 23.98% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.78% ( 0.55) | 58.22% ( -0.55) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.37% ( 0.13) | 26.63% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.13% ( 0.17) | 61.87% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.65% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 58 |
3 | Wrexham | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 44 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Barnsley | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Reading | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
13 | Blackpool | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Stevenage | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |