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League One
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League One | 1st Leg
May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
1 - 1
Barnsley

Charles (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cadden (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Bolton
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Peterborough
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

 Barnsley will not head into the playoffs with as much momentum as they would have liked, having seen their fortunes worsen since sealing fourth place, while Bolton will know the importance of going to Oakwell next week with a lead from their home tie, and we back the Trotters to prevail on Saturday as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
37.57% (0.457 0.46) 26.22% (-0.168 -0.17) 36.21% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.555 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (0.707 0.71)51.12% (-0.708 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (0.618 0.62)72.97% (-0.619 -0.62)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.59399999999999 0.59)26.47% (-0.595 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (0.783 0.78)61.66% (-0.785 -0.78)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (0.167 0.17)27.25% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (0.216 0.22)62.68% (-0.216 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 37.57%
    Barnsley 36.21%
    Draw 26.21%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.57%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.21%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
68.2%
Draw
18.2%
Barnsley
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton

Andersen (11')
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2pm
First Round
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Dadi Bodvarsson (80')
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
Kane (37')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 15
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley

Norwood (24')
Aug 10, 2021 8pm
First Round
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley
 Bolton win 5-4 on penalties

Jones (68')

Benson (13'), Moon (46'), Kane (82')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
Gardner (22'), McBurnie (90')
Moore (45'), Gardner (57'), Moncur (79'), McBurnie (81'), Lindsay (90')
Le Fondre (82' pen.), Noone (85')
Henry (13'), Ameobi (55'), Beevers (59'), Pratley (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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