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League One
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League One | 1st Leg
May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
1 - 1
Barnsley

Charles (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cadden (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Bolton
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Peterborough
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

 Barnsley will not head into the playoffs with as much momentum as they would have liked, having seen their fortunes worsen since sealing fourth place, while Bolton will know the importance of going to Oakwell next week with a lead from their home tie, and we back the Trotters to prevail on Saturday as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
37.57% (0.457 0.46) 26.22% (-0.168 -0.17) 36.21% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.555 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (0.707 0.71)51.12% (-0.708 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (0.618 0.62)72.97% (-0.619 -0.62)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.59399999999999 0.59)26.47% (-0.595 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (0.783 0.78)61.66% (-0.785 -0.78)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (0.167 0.17)27.25% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (0.216 0.22)62.68% (-0.216 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 37.57%
    Barnsley 36.21%
    Draw 26.21%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.57%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.21%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
68.2%
Draw
18.2%
Barnsley
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton

Andersen (11')
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2pm
First Round
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Dadi Bodvarsson (80')
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
Kane (37')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 15
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley

Norwood (24')
Aug 10, 2021 8pm
First Round
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley
 Bolton win 5-4 on penalties

Jones (68')

Benson (13'), Moon (46'), Kane (82')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
Gardner (22'), McBurnie (90')
Moore (45'), Gardner (57'), Moncur (79'), McBurnie (81'), Lindsay (90')
Le Fondre (82' pen.), Noone (85')
Henry (13'), Ameobi (55'), Beevers (59'), Pratley (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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