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League One
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Barnsley
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Norwood (64'), Cundy (86')
Williams (51'), Andersen (73'), Kane (84'), Norwood (86'), Jalo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muskwe (77' pen.)
Garner (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Barnsley and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-1 Barnsley
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Sheff Weds
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Fleetwood Town

 Barnsley find themselves in fine form and will be keen to return to winning ways on Thursday after a slightly disappointing draw last time out. Given the difference in quality between the squads, and the confidence Duff's men will have, we can only envisage them taking all three points at Oakwell. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
BarnsleyDrawFleetwood Town
57.41% (-0.439 -0.44) 23.78% (0.07 0.07) 18.81% (0.372 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.46% (0.416 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (0.22600000000001 0.23)52.42% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (0.194 0.19)74.1% (-0.19 -0.19)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.94% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)18.06% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.03% (-0.134 -0.13)48.97% (0.137 0.14)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.91% (0.564 0.56)42.09% (-0.56 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.49% (0.484 0.48)78.51% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 57.4%
    Fleetwood Town 18.81%
    Draw 23.77%
BarnsleyDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 13% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 11.13% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 57.4%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.043 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.093000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.81%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Fleetwood

Barnsley
81.5%
Draw
14.8%
Fleetwood Town
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Fleetwood
0-1
Barnsley

Devlin (24')
Aitchison (90')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Barnsley
4-2
Fleetwood
Bahre (21'), Woodrow (34'), McGeehan (70'), Brown (79')
McGeehan (35'), Pinillos (42')
Evans (64'), Burns (77')
Wallace (58'), Coyle (58')
Souttar (65')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Fleetwood
1-3
Barnsley
Biggins (19')
Dempsey (76')
Brown (33'), Moore (41'), Thiam (93')
Brown (35'), Moncur (61'), Pinillos (65'), Moore (90')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
Fleetwood
0-2
Barnsley

Davis (31')
Davis (47' og.), Scowen (84')
Winnall (31'), Fletcher (40'), Scowen (87')
Feb 4, 2016 7.45pm
Area Finals
Fleetwood
1-1
Barnsley
 Barnsley win 4-2 on penalties
Hunter (81')
Hourihane (67')
Brownhill (42')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148
> League One Full Table


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