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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
36.34% ( 0.52) | 25.46% ( -0.05) | 38.19% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 56.09% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.2% ( 0.27) | 47.8% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.01% ( 0.25) | 69.99% ( -0.25) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% ( 0.42) | 25.62% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.5% ( 0.57) | 60.51% ( -0.57) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.4% ( -0.12) | 24.6% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.9% ( -0.18) | 59.1% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.34% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |