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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bolton logo

Exeter
0 - 1
Bolton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradley (27')
Mbete (76'), Thomason (82'), N'Lundulu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

 Exeter's recent home form has been excellent, and this has the potential to be a very tough game for Bolton, who are not in the best of form in the league. It would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in Devon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
35.26% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 25.89% (0.0030000000000001 0) 38.84% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)49.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)71.8% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)27.19% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)62.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 35.26%
    Bolton Wanderers 38.84%
    Draw 25.89%
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.26%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.84%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bolton

Exeter City
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Bolton Wanderers
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')

Sparkes (90+3')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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