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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Peterborough United

Burton Albion
2 - 5
Peterborough

Powell (28'), Smith (54')
Hughes (67')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Clarke-Harris (12', 51'), Mason-Clark (19'), Burrows (38'), Ward (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Wycombe
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Peterborough United

 Burton have the fourth-worst home record in League One this season, and it is difficult to back them at the moment due to their recent struggles. Peterborough have actually lost eight of their 13 away league games this term, but we just have a feeling that the visitors will be able to secure a narrow victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
30.05% (0.023999999999997 0.02) 25.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 44.14% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.1% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)50.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)72.72% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.09% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)67.42% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)22.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)56.72% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 30.05%
    Peterborough United 44.14%
    Draw 25.79%
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.05%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 44.14%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Peterborough

Burton Albion
36.8%
Draw
10.5%
Peterborough United
52.6%
38
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Peterborough
1-1
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (47')
Adeboyejo (75')
Brayford (60')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
2-1
Peterborough
Hemmings (54'), Carter (58')
Smith (6'), Brayford (68'), Carter (90+3')
Burrows (90+4')
Beevers (57')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Peterborough
2-2
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (10'), Ward (48')
Mason (89')
Hemmings (32', 60')
Gilligan (58'), Akins (62'), O'Toole (71')
Sep 8, 2020 7pm
Peterborough
3-3
Burton Albion
 Peterborough win 5-4 on penalties
Clarke (3'), Reed (23'), Mason (68')
Reed (90'), Hamilton (90+6')
Lawless (44'), Powell (52', 55')
Wallace (77')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Peterborough
Brayford (65')
O'Toole (29')
Eisa (52')
Thompson (70'), Dembele (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Browns
32-41
Broncos
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148
> League One Full Table


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