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League One
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Burton Albion

Barnsley
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Cole (36', 73')
Connell (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-4 Accrington
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion

 Although Burton have struggled for victories, they have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent weeks with their last four league games ending all square, but we think that Barnsley will have enough quality to claim a fifth consecutive victory in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBurton Albion
60.11% (0.563 0.56) 22.08% (0.243 0.24) 17.81% (-0.809 -0.81)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-2.298 -2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-2.304 -2.3)47% (2.302 2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76% (-2.187 -2.19)69.24% (2.185 2.18)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)15.21% (0.589 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.14% (-1.12 -1.12)43.86% (1.119 1.12)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (-2.277 -2.28)40.06% (2.276 2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29% (-2.151 -2.15)76.71% (2.149 2.15)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 60.1%
    Burton Albion 17.81%
    Draw 22.07%
BarnsleyDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.85 0.85)
2-0 @ 10.8% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.78% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.261 -0.26)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.569 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.315 -0.32)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.197 0.2)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Burton Albion

Barnsley
88.2%
Draw
5.9%
Burton Albion
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Barnsley
0-0
Burton Albion

Mowatt (51')

Daniel (27')
Feb 20, 2018 7.45pm
Barnsley
1-2
Burton Albion
Pinillos (75')
Williams (55')
Allen (1'), Davenport (45')
McFadzean (50'), Naylor (62'), Akins (74'), Allen (88')
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Barnsley
Lund (37'), Dyer (45')
Isgrove (21'), Potts (40'), Williams (73'), Barnes (87')
Isgrove (66')
Apr 29, 2017 3pm
Barnsley
1-1
Burton Albion
Moncur (38')
Jones (32')
Varney (52')
Flanagan (49'), Varney (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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