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Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Cambridge United

Carlisle
0 - 4
Cambridge


Mellish (45+4'), Butterworth (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaikai (14'), Lavelle (69' og.), Kachunga (72'), Bennett (83')
Taylor (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Cambridge United

While Carlisle have lost four of their last five home games, it is worth pointing out that three of those defeats were against teams in the top six this season. With just two wins on the road, Cambridge's away record is far from solid and we feel that they will have to settle for a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cambridge United has a probability of 32.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Cambridge United win is 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.58%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCambridge United
41.03% (-0.372 -0.37) 26.47% (-0.197 -0.2) 32.5% (0.563 0.56)
Both teams to score 52.01% (0.802 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29% (0.941 0.94)52.7% (-0.947 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65% (0.8 0.8)74.34% (-0.804 -0.8)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68% (0.232 0.23)25.32% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.9% (0.321 0.32)60.09% (-0.327 -0.33)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (0.85599999999999 0.86)30.36% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (1.01 1.01)66.54% (-1.014 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 41.03%
    Cambridge United 32.5%
    Draw 26.46%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.5%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cambridge
1-0
Carlisle
Thomas (73')
Lankester (30'), Bennett (37')

Armer (47')
Armer (83'), McCalmont (90+2')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Carlisle
1-2
Cambridge
Alessandra (78')
Hayden (24'), Furman (28'), Zanzala (68')
Mullin (45+2'), May (90')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cambridge
3-0
Carlisle
Hannant (9'), Mullin (16'), Ironside (86')
Digby (45+3')

Patrick (45+3'), Guy (76'), Toure (88'), Mellish (89')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cambridge
1-2
Carlisle
Lambe (82')
Roles (78')
Alessandra (27'), Anderton (73')
Hayden (59'), Webster (64'), McKirdy (80'), Charters (89'), Olomola (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carlisle
0-0
Cambridge
Loft (29'), Carroll (70')
Hannant (26'), Lewis (39'), Smith (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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