Carlisle1 - 3Wycombe
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers
With relegation already confirmed, Wycombe are cruising towards the season's end, and we are expecting another limp performance from the Cumbrians on the weekend. The Chairboys are continuing to push on following their EFL Trophy heartbreak earlier in the month, and we reckon that they will pick up a third straight win at Brunton Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
21.72% ( 0) | 24.18% ( -0) | 54.09% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.48% ( 0) | 50.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.56% ( 0) | 72.43% ( -0.01) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( 0.01) | 37.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.34% ( 0.01) | 74.65% ( -0.01) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( -0) | 18.59% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.13% | 49.86% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 6.84% 2-1 @ 5.58% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.32% 3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.59% Total : 21.72% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.97% ( -0)1-2 @ 9.68% 0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.43% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.08% |
