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League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Carlisle United

Cheltenham
0 - 1
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavelle (42')
Huntington (7'), Robinson (78'), Lavelle (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-0 Carlisle United

 There is simply no downplaying the importance of this match for Cheltenham, and anything less than a victory will go down as a hugely disappointing result. We are expecting a tight game on Tuesday but are backing Cheltenham to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
46.02% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.34% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)54.66% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)75.99% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)23.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.83% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65% (0.0040000000000049 0)35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 46.01%
    Carlisle United 27.53%
    Draw 26.44%
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.53%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Carlisle

Cheltenham Town
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
Carlisle United
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Lavelle (38'), Moxon (67')
Sercombe (27')
Bonds (40'), Freestone (82'), Long (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Carlisle
Hussey (56')
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Cheltenham
2-0
Carlisle
Reilly (15'), Varney (45')
Tozer (7')

Scougall (35'), Iredale (43'), Thomas (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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