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League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Carlisle United

Cheltenham
0 - 1
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavelle (42')
Huntington (7'), Robinson (78'), Lavelle (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-0 Carlisle United

 There is simply no downplaying the importance of this match for Cheltenham, and anything less than a victory will go down as a hugely disappointing result. We are expecting a tight game on Tuesday but are backing Cheltenham to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
46.02% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.34% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)54.66% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)75.99% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)23.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.83% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65% (0.0040000000000049 0)35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 46.01%
    Carlisle United 27.53%
    Draw 26.44%
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.53%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Carlisle

Cheltenham Town
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
Carlisle United
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Lavelle (38'), Moxon (67')
Sercombe (27')
Bonds (40'), Freestone (82'), Long (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Carlisle
Hussey (56')
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Cheltenham
2-0
Carlisle
Reilly (15'), Varney (45')
Tozer (7')

Scougall (35'), Iredale (43'), Thomas (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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