League One

League One | Gameweek 27

Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
2 - 0
Barnsley

Campbell (19'), Rak-Sakyi (61')
Inniss (82'), Clare (84'), Bonne (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kitching (43'), Kane (57'), Andersen (66'), Norwood (82'), Phillips (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Charlton
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 3-0 Barnsley
Sunday, January 8 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-3 Barnsley

With aspirations of taking full advantage of their current games in hand, we predict that Barnsley will edge out an end-to-end five-goal thriller at The Valley. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Barnsley
40.23% ( 0.02)	26.33% ( -0.01)	33.44% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.06% (

0.02)

51.93% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.32% (

0.02)

73.68% (

-0.02)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6% (

0.02)

25.39% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.79% (

0.03)

60.2% (

-0.03)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.64% (

0.01)

29.35% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.66% (

0.01)

65.33% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 40.22%

Barnsley 33.44%

Draw 26.33%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 40.22%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.44%