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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
60.71% ( 1.76) | 21.03% ( -0.28) | 18.25% ( -1.48) |
Both teams to score 55.13% ( -1.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.31% ( -1.01) | 41.68% ( 1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.91% ( -1.03) | 64.08% ( 1.03) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.71% ( 0.2) | 13.28% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.89% ( 0.41) | 40.1% ( -0.41) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.58% ( -2.15) | 36.41% ( 2.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.8% ( -2.24) | 73.2% ( 2.24) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.58) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.71% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.03% | 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.54% Total : 18.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |