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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Oxford United |
48.85% ( 0.26) | 23.33% ( -0.1) | 27.82% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 59.9% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.77% ( 0.34) | 41.23% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.38% ( 0.34) | 63.62% ( -0.34) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.92% ( 0.23) | 17.08% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.74% ( 0.4) | 47.26% ( -0.4) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.24% ( 0.06) | 27.76% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.66% ( 0.07) | 63.33% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Oxford United |
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 31 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 30 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
> League One Full Table |