Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.