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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Bolton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Adeboyejo (24')
Thomason (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bradbury (45'), Clarke (46'), Harrop (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Cheltenham Town

 Saturday's test will certainly not be an easy one for Bolton, with Cheltenham Town looking a completely new side and marching towards safety under Clarke, but the hosts do still boast far more quality throughout their squad and should have what it takes to get over the line on home turf and make it five straight three-point hauls in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 15.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
64.95% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01) 19.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 15.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79% (-0.067 -0.07)40.2% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.42% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)62.57% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)11.64% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.33% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)36.67% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)38.86% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.4% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)75.59% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 64.95%
    Cheltenham Town 15.46%
    Draw 19.59%
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 64.95%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 15.46%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cheltenham

Bolton Wanderers
85.1%
Draw
6.4%
Cheltenham Town
8.5%
47
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Cheltenham
0-3
Bolton

Davies (29'), Smith (39')
Charles (15', 33'), Smith (30' og.)
Ross Evatt (30'), Adeboyejo (57')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Bolton
1-0
Cheltenham
Dempsey (80')
> Preview
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Cheltenham
1-0
Bolton
Broom (87')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cheltenham
1-2
Bolton
Ramsey (89')
Lloyd (52'), Bonds (72')
Sadlier (57'), Bakayoko (76' pen.)
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Bolton
2-2
Cheltenham
Amaechi (26'), Kachunga (58')
Thomason (30')
May (14', 45+4')
Crowley (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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