MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 04:18:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Derby logo
League One | Gameweek 30
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Derby
2 - 1
Cheltenham

Bird (60'), Collins (81')
Wilson (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sercombe (50')
Freestone (55'), Long (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Derby
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Derby County 2-1 Cheltenham Town

 Keen to bounce back to winning ways against a resilient Cheltenham Town side who are fighting for their third-tier status, Derby County face a difficult test on Saturday but should have the quality to come out on top at Pride Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 72.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 10.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Derby County in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby CountyDrawCheltenham Town
72.25% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 16.93% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 10.82% (0.016 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)39.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)61.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.5% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)9.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)31.86% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.69% (0.022000000000006 0.02)45.31% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.82% (0.016000000000002 0.02)81.18% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 72.24%
    Cheltenham Town 10.82%
    Draw 16.93%
Derby CountyDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 11.92%
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 9.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 5.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.59% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.73%
6-0 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 72.24%
1-1 @ 8.02% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 16.93%
0-1 @ 3.41% (0.004 0)
1-2 @ 3.18% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.35% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 10.82%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Cheltenham
1-1
Derby
Street (39')
Bradbury (70')
Nelson (45+7')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Derby
2-0
Cheltenham
McGoldrick (43'), Dobbin (67')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cheltenham
2-3
Derby
Taylor (2'), May (77')
Hourihane (8'), Bird (11'), Barkhuizen (55')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!