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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Reading |
33.94% ( 0.19) | 25.72% ( 0) | 40.34% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 54.85% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.77% ( 0.04) | 49.23% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.71% ( 0.04) | 71.29% ( -0.04) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.29% ( 0.14) | 27.72% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.72% ( 0.17) | 63.28% ( -0.17) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.89% ( -0.07) | 24.12% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% ( -0.11) | 58.42% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.95% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |