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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Reading logo

Cheltenham
2 - 2
Reading

Sercombe (29'), Button (37' og.)
Pett (68'), Smith (79')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Dorsett (45'), Mukairu (45+2')
Mbengue (27'), Smith (32'), Dorsett (36'), Knibbs (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Reading
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Reading

Reading have the worst away record in League One this season, collecting just five points from 11 matches, but we are expecting them to pick up all three points here despite Cheltenham's recent improvement. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawReading
33.94% (0.187 0.19) 25.72% (0.0010000000000012 0) 40.34% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77% (0.044000000000004 0.04)49.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (0.038999999999998 0.04)71.29% (-0.035999999999987 -0.04)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (0.137 0.14)27.72% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.175 0.17)63.28% (-0.171 -0.17)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)24.12% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (-0.108 -0.11)58.42% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 33.95%
    Reading 40.34%
    Draw 25.71%
Cheltenham TownDrawReading
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.34%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Reading

Cheltenham Town
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Reading
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Reading
1-0
Cheltenham
Ferry (33' og.)
Carson (49'), McIntyre (90+6')

Elliott (0'), Long (38'), Street (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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