League One | Gameweek 4
Sep 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Forest Green2 - 1Accrington
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Morecambe | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 23 | Forest Green Rovers | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 24 | Burton Albion | 7 | -12 | 1 |
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Port Vale | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Accrington Stanley | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 7 | -1 | 7 |
We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-0 Accrington Stanley
Forest Green Rovers have started their season poorly, and anything short of three points here would be less than ideal. We are tipping the home side to scrape a hard-fought victory at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
52.32% ( -0.02) | 24.65% ( 0.01) | 23.04% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
