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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
The New Lawn
Cheltenham Town

Forest Green
1 - 0
Cheltenham

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (16'), Sercombe (45+1'), Freestone (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham Town

In a match with permutations in the lower half of the table, we expect both sides to compete vigorously to gain another three points in League One. Nevertheless, there will be no separating the sides on the day, culminating in a point apiece for both Forest Green and Cheltenham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCheltenham Town
51.39% (0.012 0.01) 24.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.99% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.95% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)50.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.02% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)35.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)72.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 51.38%
    Cheltenham Town 23.99%
    Draw 24.62%
Forest Green RoversDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.38%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.99%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Cheltenham

Forest Green Rovers
45.5%
Draw
45.5%
Cheltenham Town
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7pm
Second Round
Forest Green
1-1
Cheltenham
Cheltenham win 4-3 on penalties
March (24')
Peart-Harris (17')
Broom (69')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
2-1
Forest Green
Boyle (11'), Williams (57')
Boyle (14'), May (26'), Sercombe (59'), Clements (73')
Collins (74' pen.)
Adams (77')
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Forest Green
Varney (67')
Raglan (24'), Clements (86'), Ince (90'), Tozer (93')
Aitchison (15'), Frear (40')
Collins (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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