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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Barnsley
2 - 0
Forest Green

Cole (15'), Martin (83')
Kitching (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Despite a poor run of late, Barnsley should still be good enough to get by Forest Green. Their experience should get them through the game, but the visitors will not make it an easy ride. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawForest Green Rovers
49.95% (-0.114 -0.11) 24.41% (0.038 0.04) 25.64% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25% (-0.104 -0.1)47.75% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06% (-0.096 -0.1)69.95% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)19.15% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.2% (-0.143 -0.14)50.8% (0.143 0.14)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.42% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 49.94%
    Forest Green Rovers 25.64%
    Draw 24.41%
BarnsleyDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.64%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Forest Green

Barnsley
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Forest Green Rovers
0.0%
10
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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