Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.