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League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Northampton Town

Portsmouth
4 - 1
Northampton

Ogilvie (7'), Lane (16', 58'), Lang (70')
Sparkes (90+5')
McIntyre (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leonard (89')
Guthrie (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 3-1 Northampton Town

 With the Cobblers struggling with injuries, they could probably do without an away game against the current league leaders. While they may have lost just one of their last five away league matches, Northampton have succumbed in each of their previous four away meetings with Portsmouth, and we think that run will continue with a defeat on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawNorthampton Town
54.93% (-0.779 -0.78) 22.66% (-0.084 -0.08) 22.4% (0.859 0.86)
Both teams to score 56.36% (1.481 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.72% (1.393 1.39)43.27% (-1.397 -1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.33% (1.359 1.36)65.67% (-1.363 -1.36)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (0.224 0.22)15.65% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32% (0.414 0.41)44.68% (-0.416 -0.42)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (1.582 1.58)33.18% (-1.583 -1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (1.708 1.71)69.79% (-1.71 -1.71)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 54.93%
    Northampton Town 22.4%
    Draw 22.66%
PortsmouthDrawNorthampton Town
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.518 -0.52)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.415 -0.42)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.16 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 54.93%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.218 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.326 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 5.86% (0.191 0.19)
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.158 0.16)
2-3 @ 2% (0.162 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.4%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Northampton

Portsmouth
80.0%
Draw
6.7%
Northampton Town
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Northampton
0-3
Portsmouth

Bowie (47')
Raggett (11'), Lane (26', 48')
Norris (22')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Northampton
4-1
Portsmouth
Watson (20', 23'), Horsfall (32'), Hoskins (43')
Miller (85'), Mitchell (88')
Harrison (73' pen.)
Marquis (34')
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Portsmouth
4-0
Northampton
Marquis (39', 47'), Curtis (50'), Harness (83')
Williams (57'), Harness (60')

Bolger (43')
Dec 3, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 32
Portsmouth
2-1
Northampton
Maloney (39'), Harness (62')
Bolton (43')
Harriman (12')
Martin (43'), Harriman (76')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Portsmouth
3-1
Northampton
Kennedy (41'), Hawkins (45', 48')
Pitman (42'), Kennedy (90')
Long (36')
McGugan (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148
> League One Full Table


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