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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cambridge United

Bolton
2 - 0
Cambridge

Thomason (35'), Collins (66')
Adeboyejo (28'), Cogley (46'), Thomason (70'), Dempsey (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kaikai (41'), Morrison (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Bolton
Tuesday, February 27 at 8.15pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Cambridge United

Bolton appear to be struggling for goals since Charles's knee injury, while Cambridge have failed to score in both matches under Corr's caretaker management. The Trotters edged it 2-1 when these sides met last month, and we are predicting another narrow victory for the hosts ahead of a crucial promotion clash against Barnsley in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
64.52% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 19.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 15.93% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)38.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.7% (0.040999999999997 0.04)61.3% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)11.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)36.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5% (0.060000000000002 0.06)37.5% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72% (0.058 0.06)74.28% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 64.51%
    Cambridge United 15.93%
    Draw 19.54%
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 64.51%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.54%
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 15.93%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cambridge

Bolton Wanderers
85.0%
Draw
15.0%
Cambridge United
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cambridge
1-2
Bolton
Toal (8' og.)
Cousins (40'), Kachunga (41'), Morrison (63')
Taylor (90+1')
Maghoma (52'), Mendes Gomes (63')
Sheehan (22'), Iredale (90+1')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Bolton
1-1
Cambridge
John (67')
Smith (90+5')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Bolton
2-0
Cambridge
Bakayoko (39'), Afolayan (70')
Williams (87')

Mitov (42')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Cambridge
1-0
Bolton
Tracey (16')
Iredale (17'), Digby (38'), Hoolahan (54'), O'Neil (73')

Williams (13'), Sarcevic (29'), Santos (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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